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Premier League set for extra UCL spot which means 8th likely gets Europe

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Despite not being in European competition this season watching from the outside still holds massive significance and possible implications further down the line.

Without having a say in how the table turns, the Premier League’s future in Europe next season rests in the hands of the 8 teams who entered the UEFA Champions League, Europa League & Europa Conference League this season. Currently the Premier League holds 4 Champions League spots, 2 Europa League spots (1 reserved for FA Cup winners) and 1 Europa Conference League spot (reserved for Carabao Cup winners)

With the Champions League expanding next season that has opened up the opportunity of an extra club from the Premier League participating with the rest of the positions filtering down to a possible 8th place. But in order to gain that extra Champions League spot the league has to perform in the 23/24 competition.

The top two performing nations across Europe across the 23/24 competition will be rewarded the additional spot for the 24/25 competition. Heading into the last 16 ties both Italy and Germany had an edge but following West Ham’s victory over Freiburg it is inevitable the Premier League will overtake the Bundesliga given the English presence in the quarter-finals.

How does it work?

The coefficient points are decided on the average so whatever points the league accumulates between now and May gets divided by 8. And with only 4 potentially rising to 5 seeing the quarter-final stage that number is going to be dragged down because of 2 sides picking up zero points in the knockout and Brighton’s exit to Roma in the last 16. Further damage could be caused if Aston Villa were to go out to Ajax.

How does this impact Chelsea?

You might be thinking how this impacts Chelsea. Given our poor league campaign it is unlikely Chelsea will even be in the shout for 4th come May let alone 5th but the knock on impact down the table could mean the club miss out on Europe entirely.

For example, if the Premier League was awarded a 5th Champions League spot, 8th would almost certainly mean Conference League with the Europa League being achieved with a 7th place finish. Failure to win the 5th spot would mean you would have to finish 6th & 7th. If a team outside the top 8 were to win the FA Cup then 8th would not qualify for Europe.

Hope is not all lost for Chelsea fans as there is still a possibility of entering Europe via the backdoor. Winning the Emirates FA Cup would mean entry into the UEFA Europa League, this is regardless of the Premier League getting/not getting an additional Champions League spot.

With the Premier League on hold there is still plenty to play for when the league resumes come the end of the month. The blues currently sit 3 points off 8th and 4 points off 7th but do have a game in hand. Chelsea also have to play both West Ham and Brighton who currently occupy 7th and 8th respectively.

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