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Confirmed: PL misses out on extra UCL spot in blow to 8th place hopes

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Despite not being in European competition this season watching from the outside held massive significance and possible implications further down the line. Those implications have now become a reality.

Without having a say in how the table turns, the Premier League’s future in Europe next season rested in the hands of the 8 teams who entered the UEFA Champions League, Europa League & Europa Conference League this season. In short Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund have cost the Premier League this season as well as the failure of both Newcastle and Manchester United.

With the Champions League expanding next season that opened up the opportunity of an extra club from the Premier League participating with the rest of the positions filtering down to a possible 8th place. But in order to gain that extra Champions League spot the league has to perform in the 23/24 competition.

The top two performing nations across Europe across the 23/24 competition will be rewarded the additional spot for the 24/25 competition. As a result of Manchester City, Arsenal, West Ham, Liverpool all exiting at the quarter-final stage, the Premier League has now slipped to 3rd, behind Italy and Germany. As a result, Germany will now finish above England meaning no additional place will be handed out ahead of the 24/25 season.

With Dortmund’s victory over Atletico Madrid, Leverkusen’s victory over West Ham, Atalanta’s victory over Liverpool and Bayern Munich’s victory over Arsenal, Germany’s coefficient has opened up a gap on England and with no club left to boost points, the overall position has now been handed over.

The gap between England and Germany can no longer be closed following Bayern’s draw against Real Madrid and Dortmund’s victory over PSG.

How does it work?

The coefficient points are decided on the average so whatever points the league accumulates between September and May gets divided by 8. Manchester United and Newcastle’s group-stage exits effectively started the downfall as well as Brighton’s early knockout exit. With the rest following at the next hurdle it means the Premier League’s influence in Europe is now over despite Aston Villa’s efforts earlier this evening.

How does this impact Chelsea?

You might be thinking how this impacts Chelsea. Given our poor league campaign Chelsea are no longer in the shout for 4th come May let alone 5th but the knock on impact down the table could mean the club miss out on Europe entirely.

As the European places will no longer shift, in order to play in Europe next season you would have to finish 6th & 7th. Winning the Emirates FA Cup would mean entry into the UEFA Europa League, this is regardless of the Premier League placement.

Pochettino’s Chelsea currently sit 5 points off 7th but do have a game in hand. Chelsea still have to play West Ham, Brighton & Tottenham who are all fighting for European places.

The original hope was that 7th would be a Europa League place but with the coefficient failure that now means 6th or winning the FA Cup is the only way in, a 7th place finish would only see the Conference League come to Stamford Bridge.

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